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Friday, July 25, 2008

glaxosmith


their last year EPS was 3.64tk.So how much price it must be?is it not highly overvalued?as the public portion is very low its price is high.Look for the four new product their profit will increase.But how much??what will be their this year EPS?

come to TA.When there is very good volume with small price increase we can assume it as big guns buy or institutional buy.Do they buy in high price?i dont think so.Today its price increasd abt 17.49%.Is it not suspicious?i think they have not bought today.Some portion they have sold.And for next two days they will offload it more.look at their last day volume.It is 1.17% of their total volume.But public have only .79%.So from where that volm came?i think that it will increase for one more day,at best two days.then it will start to fall.
other things are shown in graph.

Thursday, July 24, 2008

sqr tex

i want to say something abt sqrtex.
fundamentally its a good stock.i love it.but we want profit.If we stuck with it for 2,3 month i think it will not give so much profit.But if we take some trick it will be a good stock for us.I have applied this and got profit everytime.

First to say about TA on it.several times it crossed bollinger band but it could not hold its strenth .Why???
because it crosses the band when it is in wide range.I want to say that it starts to move before the bollinger band squeezes.If a stock crosses bollinger band after squeezing we can get a very good profit .so observing bb cross for this stock we will not get profit.

Now come to them who uses EMA crossing over.Have you observed?after crossing over it cannot hold its strength.So seeing this crossing we cannot get profit.Actually by this technique we will loose for this stock.

then how will trade with this stock?just try to buy when it is below 120tk.then when it moves 7 to 8 tk in one day sell some portion of your stock on that day.And 2 third sell on the next day.And rest of the stock sell after that day.Then the stock will again come to its origin.

Sunday, July 20, 2008

bextex


I dont think betex is now to buy for us.When big buyer buys a share they dont allow
to increase the value of that share in huge percentage.This occurs when they want to offload their share they begin to increase its value and then offloaded to us.all is shown in the graph.
 

Saturday, July 19, 2008

Aroon oxcillator


Aroon
Developed by Tushar Chande in 1995, Aroon is an indicator system that can be used to determine whether a stock is trending or not and how strong the trend is. "Aroon" means "Dawn's Early Light" in Sanskrit and Chande choose that name for this indicator since it is designed to reveal the beginning of a new trend.
The Aroon indicator system consists of two lines, 'Aroon(up)' and 'Aroon(down)'. It takes a single parameter which is the number of time periods to use in the calculation. Aroon(up) is the amount of time (on a percentage basis) that has elapsed between the start of the time period and the point at which the highest price during that time period occurred. If the stock closes at a new high for the given period, Aroon(up) will be +100. For each subsequent period that passes without another new high, Aroon(up) moves down by an amount equal to (1 / # of periods) x 100.

Technically, the formula for Aroon(up) is:

[ [ (# of periods) - (# of periods since highest high during that time) ] / (# of periods) ] x 100
For example, consider plotting a 10-period Aroon(up) line on a daily chart. If the highest price for the past ten days occurred 6 days ago (4 days since the start of the time period), Aroon(up) for today would be equal to ((10-6)/10) x 100 = 40.
Aroon(down) is calculated in just the opposite manner, looking for new lows instead of new highs. When a new low is set, Aroon(down) is equal to +100. For each subsequent period that passes without another new low, Aroon(down) moves down by an amount equal to (1 / # of periods) x 100.

The formula for Aroon(down) is :

[ [ (# of periods) - (# of periods since lowest low during that time) ] / (# of periods) ] x 100
Continuing the example above, if the lowest price in that same ten-day period happened yesterday (i.e. on day 9), Aroon(down) for today would be 90.

Aroon Oscillator

A separate indicator called the Aroon Oscillator can be constructed by subtracting Aroon(down) from Aroon(up). Since Aroon(up) and Aroon(down) oscillate between 0 and +100, the Aroon Oscillator will oscillate between -100 and +100 with zero as the center crossover line.


Interpretation Guidelines


Chande states that when Aroon(up) and Aroon(down) are moving lower in close proximity, it signals that a consolidation phase is under way and no strong trend is evident. When Aroon(up) dips below 50, it indicates that the current trend has lost its upward momentum. Similarly, when Aroon(down) dips below 50, the current downtrend has lost its momentum. Values above 70 indicate a strong trend in the same direction as the Aroon (up or down) is under way.
The Aroon Oscillator signals an upward trend is underway when it is above zero and a downward trend is underway when it falls below zero. The farther away the oscillator is from the zero line, the stronger the trend
In some ways, Aroon is similar to Wilder's DMI system (and the Aroon Oscillator is similar to Wilder's ADX line) however the Aroon is constructed in a completely different manner. Divergences between the two systems may be very instructive.


The AFL Language of AROON will be as following.just copy it to yourformula editor and run.



_SECTION_BEGIN("Aroon Indicators");
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------
//
// Formula Name: Aroon Indicators
// Author/Uploader: Marek Chlopek
// E-mail: mchlopek@post.pl
// Date/Time Added: 2001-12-20 03:36:38
// Origin:
// Keywords: Aroon
// Level: basic
// Flags: indicator
// Formula URL: http://www.amibroker.com/library/formula.php?id=138
// Details URL: http://www.amibroker.com/library/detail.php?id=138
//
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------
//
// A time price oscillator.
//
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------

// AROON.AFL v 0.006 20/12/2001
// Aroon
// Coded by Marek Chlopek, December 2001
// For interpretation of the Aroon indicators refer to Tushar Chande's article
// "Time Price Oscillator" in the Sep, 95 S&C magazine

// Thanks to Mr Dimitris Tsokakis for his suggestions.
// See message tread: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/message/7367


// ****************************************************************************************
// INITIALIZATION OF EXPLORATION IN AMIBROKER
// ****************************************************************************************
Filter = 1;
NumColumns = 5;
Column0 = O; Column0Name = "O"; Column0Format = 1.2;
Column1 = H; Column1Name = "H"; Column1Format = 1.2;
Column2 = L; Column2Name = "L"; Column2Format = 1.2;
Column3 = C; Column3Name = "C"; Column3Format = 1.2;
Column4 = V; Column4Name = "V"; Column4Format = 1.0;

// END OF "INITIALIZATION OF EXPLORATION IN AMIBROKER" SECTION

// ****************************************************************************************
// AROON INDICATORS
// ****************************************************************************************
Period = 14;
LLVBarsSince = LLVBars(L, Period) + 1;
HHVBarsSince = HHVBars(H, Period) + 1;

Aroon_Down = 100 * (Period - LLVBarsSince) / (Period - 1);
Aroon_Up = 100 * (Period - HHVBarsSince) / (Period - 1);
Aroon_Osc = Aroon_Up - Aroon_Down;

// Exploration in Amibroker
AddColumn(LLVBarsSince, "LLVBarsSince", format=1.0);
AddColumn(HHVBarsSince, "HHVBarsSince", format=1.0);
AddColumn(Aroon_Down, "Aroon_Down", format=1.2);
AddColumn(Aroon_Up, "Aroon_Up", format=1.2);
AddColumn(Aroon_Osc, "Aroon_Osc", format=1.2);

// END OF "AROON INDICATORS" SECTION


// ****************************************************************************************
// GRAPHICS PRESENTATION IN AMIBROKER
// ****************************************************************************************
MaxGraph = 3;
Graph0 = Aroon_Down; Graph0Style = 8+4; Graph0Color = 7;
Graph1 = Aroon_Up; Graph1Style = 1+4; Graph1Color = 4;
Graph2 = Aroon_Osc; Graph2Style = 2; Graph2Color = 1;

Title = Name()
+ " - Aroon_Down = " + WriteVal(Graph0, 1.2) + " %"
+ ", Aroon_Up = " + WriteVal(Graph1, 1.2) + " %"
+ ", Aroon_Osc = " + WriteVal(Graph2, 1.2) + " %";

// END OF "GRAPHICS PRESENTATION IN AMIBROKER" SECTION


// ****************************************************************************************
// END OF CODE (ARRON.AFL)
// ****************************************************************************************
/**/
_SECTION_END();

ULC



Hmm.We have to wait a bit for ULc.Just now its movement is not clear.still now it is on downtrend.

Friday, July 18, 2008




Its a good stock.Public holding is 28%.Huge collection is going on.Details is given on the chart.
We can collect in small amount daily.

Wednesday, July 16, 2008

finding out the percentage change in a time range


1.This AFL is written to find out the % change of a particular field(price,volume,high...) for time range.
2.time range is inputed by clicking in two different places(first click on the first date and then click on the second date)
3.there will be a green vertical line on the screen for first click andthen a red vertical line for second clisk.
Hope all of you will enjoy.
Just copy the  following code into your formula editor and run


field=ParamField("field",3);
y=EndValue(field);
x=BeginValue(field);
Change=(y-x)*100/x;
period=EndValue(BarIndex())-BeginValue(BarIndex());

Plot(period,"Time period in days",colorBlue,styleNoDraw|styleNoRescale);
Color=IIf(O>C,colorRed,colorBrightGreen);
Plot(C,"close",Color,styleCandle|styleNoTitle);
Plot(Change,"% change",colorGreen,styleNoDraw|styleNoRescale);

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

how to back up ami data?


Sometimes i saw amibroker crashed.then i lost my data.abar onek somoy bivinno csv file theke ami te data input kore total data pai.Amra ki ami broker er sob data ekta file e csv akare save korte pari na?
I have written an AFl which will help you to make back up of your amidata.
I have attached an afl.
1.At first run this afl.
2.Select all quotaion
3.select all symble
4.press explore

Then
5.press export and save the file giving a name.it will be your csv file of backup
Now come to the point how youwill use it in future?

1.click import wizard
2.pick the file and next
3.select the column as
column1(ticker),column2(MDY),column3(open),column4(high),column5(low),column6(close),column7(volume)
4.next
5.finish byclicking what you usually do

the afl should be as:



//This program is written to keep the back up of ami broker file.
//hope you will enjoy
//thank you......OPTIMIZER


Filter=1;
AddColumn(O,"Open");
AddColumn(H,"High");
AddColumn(L,"LOW");
AddColumn(C,"Close");
AddColumn(V,"Volume");

Saturday, July 5, 2008

Keya





keya Cosmetic:
year     eps     NAV     divident   div yield 
2007   4.05   15.96    30.00   11.03

about 23.64% of total  share traded in last 13 days.Last day 3.45% share traded.It has generated a good volume.I think it will jump on next few days.Got a buy signal last day.Its pullback seems over.Now it will go on uptrend.All information are included in the graph.

Keya detergent:
year     eps     NAV     divident   div yield 
2007    3.92   15.94       21.00      12.28

Look the NAV of keya detergent and cosmetic is almost same.Its EPS is 13 paisa lower than cosmetic.If keya cos is 78 taka what price of detergent we can expect?It needs to go above 60 taka.Moreover in this market simple low divident company is more valued than keyas.We can keep an keen eye on keyas.

Technical details are given on the graph.

Friday, July 4, 2008

npolymar


National polymar has caught my eyes.In last 9 days about 8.09% share is traded in low price.
On 6.22.08  4.08% share is bought by somebody in low price variation.On the last trading day 1020 share traded but price increased about 9% from opening price.We know its share per lot is 10.So it is very easy to play with it.If someone tries to increase its value(big buyer)  he can easily do it.We can assume that last day the increase of price is not occured from high demand.As low volume is traded.I think someone is trying to increase its value to offload it.
The price seems low to me to collect before it jumps.
Lets see what happens

Bata



About Bata.
I like it.It gave a buy signal.Other technical information is given on chart

Thursday, July 3, 2008

Aci


Aci is a very good share.But our market is too volatile.And huge amount of insider trading occurs here.Big buyers know the inside information some days ago it comes to market.They stars to stock it when it is low.
When the news comes to market they make the price to go to sky and then they offloads it.I have observed that when there is huge volume with low price change then big buyers collect.But when there is huge volume with high price change then they offload it.

In last 13 days about 8.23% of total volume is traded.We can assume that here the big fishes collected.Today 6.57% share is traded with 12.78%  price increase.It tells me to be cautious.
Aci may be very good.But when all the buyers are the general public in the field,the price hardly goes up.Rather it decreases gradually.
Lets see what happens.

Wednesday, July 2, 2008

80 days low


this chart shows 80 days low.Here powergrid presents.Actually power grid is now in historical low.
Two big institution(prime bank and AB bank) has huge amount of power grid.
I have to keep an keen eye on it.

70days low


just see the following shares.They are all have come to 70 days low.Who want to buy at bottom can check this.
There are Z categories here.Try to avoid them.
Good prospective are powergrid.On AB bank's portfolio there is huge volume of powergrid.They have increased their stock on this item from previous year.

Ecables is govt share.It can be put on watch list.
And 7th Icb.I will see where it may go(both in down and up).