Market and some thoughts

Dhaka Stock Exchange is behaving very strange.It gains some point today,looses some next day.Actually what i see is that other stocks increases and index gets some points but bank sector takes those points.Whole bank sector is in downtrend.God knows when the fall will be stopped.

Under this type of market it is hard to make money.But we can try,because in every market there is tradable stocks.i am trying some.made profit with bdthai,atlas,united insurance.
holding some finance and waiting for a uptrend.

Now i am going to bet my money on batashoe.Technical position seemed to me better and also heard some rumour about its eps.Lets see how much it can return.

***always think twice before investing.dont invest according to my analysis.I may be wrong any time.

TA course(with amibroker)

Many of my friends requested me in phone,mail and in forum to take a TA course again.I want to say that in internet and forum you will find all tools and resources to learn TA.But they are saying that as they are busy with their professional job it becomes very hard to learn TA from the forum posting.Because it is time consuming.

So being requested by my honourable friends again i am going to arrange another TA course.
Course duration will be 12 hours.4 hours per day.Every friday from 9 AM to 1 PM,course will be taken.
That means course will be finished in three days.


Seat is limited.So i may not give chance to all who will apply.who will apply first will get chance first.

course starting: 30.1.09(30th january 2009)
Last day of application: 29.1.09

apply by sending email to the following mail id:

mrzaman22@gmail.com
01190469495


thanks
optimizer

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EASTLAND

Is Eastland waiting for a uptrend?after pullback it has got its support at 61.8% fibbo level.I have got a buy signal in buy trading system today.Volume is generating and rsi is also less than 70 and on uptrend.Is something going in it?who knows?we can keep an eye on it.But everything is depending on market.If market is stable then we can get a good uptrend.

***just my analysis.always invest according to your judgement.
optimizer

7th ICB

Is it waiting for a breakout?its paid up is too low,just 3 crore. so if anyonewants to manipulate it he needs several month to collect(as its trading volume is low).Is its collection over? is it waiting for next jump?who know?

lets see some fundamental.its NAV is 490tk.lets see other MF.sims nav is 3(it is less than three,i have just taken it for rough estimation).Grameen2 =11 taka.so their price is 5 or 6 time to their nav.if we take price will be 5 time of NAV then 7 th icb price may be above 2400.If we consider price may be 3 times of nav then its price should be 1470tk.But in dse we saw that sometimes people buy overvalued share.They want to buy running share which may give 4 day profit(though maximum time maximum people get losses from 4 dy trade).

paid up of 7th icb is only3 crore taka.So if anyone wants to play game with it he should wait 3 to 4 month to collect.Because if he wants to collect it very quickly then its price will be shot.It is already four month of downtrend of 7th icb.Have someone collected it?Does he or they want to play with it?i dont know.

Lets see some charts.It is now on consolidation phase.It is a good phase for a stock to go up.If market is stable and general paople participation is good i think this stock will go up.In chart i have show its past history.



****just my own thoughts.dont invest in this script just reading my thoughts.Apply your own judgement.
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Bd Thai

At last Bd Thai is giving me the fruit.It rocked like hell today.huge buy pressurepushed ir to the sky today.Volume is excellent..........
So,the strategy slow and go is good.Hit and run gave loss maximum time to me.So the stock which is ready to jump but people r not buying heavily is better for fresh entry.Lets do my next experiment.

qmdrycell

some friends asked me to say something about this stock.my thought is:


qmdrycell is a hold.my primary buy signal of this stock was 22.12.08 and secondary buy signal was on 1.1.09. it is increasing for 13 days. i will say it may be risky for fresh buy.its rsi is greater than 72 which is a risky zone for fresh entry.
Though i have not seen any offloading volume but i want to be safe.It has some strong rumour in the market which is hammering its price up.It needs some consolidation or pullback for the fresh buy.However who are holding it can hold it before any weaksess is seen in it.

why index is down today?

today 125 scripts gained and 115 scripts lost and 7 were unchanged in dhaka stock exchange.So why dse general index decreased today?because most of the looser scripts were bank and you know 49% share of dse is bank.So for the falling of bank index has lost its point.
If market needs to go up falling of bank must be stopped.

imambutton

imambutton seems to me a buyable stocks.Technical position is described in the chart .It is now generating volume.Is something fishy in it?who knows?

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about market

todays fall was expected.as the first 430 crore day share are matured today and they are in good profit today so some trader locked their profit.So there was a sell pressure.Over all market condition seems suitable for me.Technically index is getting a support at 2800 level.If it stabilizes above 2800 then the market will be very good.Other technical indicators are also showing positive sign of market.details is showin on graph.

moreover new govt wants to expand the market and the political situation is also stable.So i am hopeful about the market and holding my stocks tight.

BD Thai

Bd thai seems good to me.It is now a very fast moving stock.Rises very quickly.It is going to B category soon.Technically it is in sound position.BB breakout occured.MACD crossingover occured.
And other indicators are giving good sign.

new year afl

in the following i am sharing a afl.......a funny one.
color change code is changed by blueship.




_SECTION_BEGIN("New Year");
for( i = 1; i < BarCount; i++ )
z = (GetPerformanceCounter()/100)%30;
y = (GetPerformanceCounter()/100)%255;
Col=ColorHSB( ( i + y ) % 256, 255, 255 );
x=Cum(1);L1=LastValue(x);
F=StochD()+30*sin(Cum(1/5))+20*sin(10*Cum(1/10));
RequestTimedRefresh(1);
Plot(F,"",Col+z,styleNoLine+styleNoLabel);
PlotShapes(shapeStar*(F>95)*(X>L1-180),1+(x%35)+z);
PlotShapes(shapeHollowStar*(F<30>10)*(X>L1-180),Col);
y0=20;y1=60;y=0.5*(y0+y1);Plot(0,"",1,styleNoLine+styleNoLabel);
Plot(y0+y1,"",3,styleNoLine+styleNoLabel);
n=4;d0=140;dd=10;

d=d0;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1],y[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5],y[L1-d-1+4],0),"",3,1);
d1=d-n;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d1],y0[d1],x[L1-d1+1],y1[d1],0),"",3,1);

d=d0-dd;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1],y[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5],y[L1-d-1+4],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1+1],y1[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5+1],y1[L1-d-
1+4],0),"",3,1);
d1=d-n;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d1],y0[d1],x[L1-d1+1],y1[d1],0),"",3,1);

d=d-dd;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1],y[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5],y[L1-d-1+4],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1+1],y1[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5+1],y1[L1-d-
1+4],0),"",3,1);
d1=d-n;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d1],y[d1],x[L1-d1+1],y1[d1],0),"",3,1);

d=d-dd;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1],y[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5],y[L1-d-1+4],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1+1],y1[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5+1],y1[L1-d-
1+4],0),"",3,1);
d1=d-n;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d1],y[d1],x[L1-d1+1],y1[d1],0),"",3,1);

d=d-dd;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+3],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y1[d],x[L1-d+1],y[d],0),"",3,1);

d=d-2*dd;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
d1=d-n;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d1],y0[d1],x[L1-d1+1],y1[d1],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d+1],y1[d],x[L1-d+4],y0[d],0),"",3,1);

d=d-dd;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1],y[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5],y[L1-d-1+4],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1+1],y1[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5+1],y1[L1-d-
1+4],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1+1],y0[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5+1],y0[L1-d-
1+4],0),"",3,1);

d=d-dd;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+4],y[L1-d-1+3],0),"",3,1);
d1=d-n+1;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d1],y[d1],x[L1-d1+2],y0
[d1],0),"",3,1);d=d-5;
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);

d=d-dd;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+3],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y1[d],x[L1-d+1],y[d],0),"",3,1);

d=d-7;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1],y[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5],y[L1-d-1+4],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1+1],y1[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5+1],y1[L1-d-
1+4],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1+1],y0[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5+1],y0[L1-d-
1+4],0),"",3,1);

d=d-dd;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1],y[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5],y[L1-d-1+4],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1+1],y1[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5+1],y1[L1-d-
1+4],0),"",3,1);
d1=d-n;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d1],y0[d1],x[L1-d1+1],y1[d1],0),"",3,1);

d=d-dd;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y0[d],x[L1-d+1],y1[d],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1],y[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5],y[L1-d-1+4],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d-1+1],y1[L1-d-1],x[L1-d-1+5+1],y1[L1-d-
1+4],0),"",3,1);
d1=d-n;Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d1],y[d1],x[L1-d1+1],y1[d1],0),"",3,1);
Plot(LineArray(x[L1-d],y[d],x[L1-d+5],y0[d],0),"",3,1);
Title="HAPPY NEW YEAR 2009";
_SECTION_END();

some stocks seems good

some stocks of finance sector is looking good to me....
plfsl,midas,unioncap seems good.

To my view textile sector is most undervalued sector in dse.......we can invest in textile sector.For long term it will be a safe investment.